Service Plays Thursday 5/6/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic (-9, 189.5)

Instead of celebrating the Magic's 114-71 blowout win over the Atlanta Hawks in Tuesday's Game 1, Orlando coach Stand Van Gundy spent more time deflating his team's ego.

Well aware of the dangers of overconfidence, Van Gundy lectured his players about staying focused on playing up to their abilities every night regardless of the scoreboard or series tally.

"I think the most important thing is what coach said after the game," Rashard Lewis told the Orlando Sentinel. "A (43)-point win doesn’t make you win two games. It’s just one game. We’ve got to get ready for Game 2 and be prepared, because they’re going to come out and play."

Lewis wasn't the only member of the Magic adopting a cautious tone after the convincing win.

"We understand that it’s only one game and in order for us to win the series, we have to dominate every night like we did tonight and remain humble," center Dwight Howard said.

The Magic seem determined to get back to the Finals one step at a time, while the Hawks, who have lost 21 straight playoff series after dropping the opener, appear to lack the mental toughness it takes to win in the postseason. Going seven games against the short-handed Milwaukee Bucks exposed that weakness.

But now they're playing a team with superior talent and a stronger mental approach - a lethal 1-2 punch. It's hard to see the Hawks faring much better in Game 2, especially in Mouse Town.

Pick: Orlando Magic

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the day Hawks at Magic

Orlando opened as 9-point favorites with the total set at 189.5.
We tend to see a Game 2 line go down from the Game 1 line as the oddsmakers bring the number down to offset players taking advantage of a better line for the losing team. That is not the case here and any zig zag bettors have an advantageous number.

Zig Or Zag

The Zig Zag Theory was once a very popular betting strategy in the NBA Playoffs but because of its popularity, the markets caught up and since 2000, it has been a losing situational method.
This theory basically used to say to bet the loser of the previous game in the next game but linesmakers have caught up to this rationale in recent years as you will see that the line in the second game is usually lower even if the home team won the previous game in the series.
Orlando is favored by the same number as it was in Game 1, which is uncommon, but it is largely in part due to the Magic winning the first game by 43 points.
The theory was based on betting the desperate team coming off a loss and it is safe to say that the Hawks will be pretty desperate come Thursday. We will see just how desperate sometime around 10:30 p.m. ET.

No Rust For The Rested

Orlando came into the playoffs riding a six-game winning streak and after sweeping Charlotte, stormed into the Atlanta series on a 10-game winning streak. The problem was that the Magic had to rest for eight days before the Conference Semifinals, but apparently that did not matter.
It took Orlando over a quarter to pull away but when it did, it did so in a big way. The Magic shot 52.4 percent while holding Atlanta to 34.6 percent from the field including 15.4 percent from long range.
The Magic have now won 25 of their last 28 games and could be considered the favorite to win it all right now after this recent run.
The Hawks won the final meeting of the regular season between these two but looking back, it may not have been a total Orlando effort put into that game. Going back to last season, the Magic have won seven of the last eight meetings with five of those coming by at least 17 points.

Blowout Bounceback?

Egos are a big part of the NBA and for Atlanta to get absolutely embarrassed Tuesday, the players are going to be out for some revenge.
The last time we saw a beatdown like this, it was New Orleans getting hammered last season in the first round by 58 points. Two nights later, the Hornets lost the next game by 21 points so there was no bounceback there.
Bettors have to try and decipher what the mindset of the Hawks is following that loss.
“Honestly, it would be harder if we lost by one point on a buzzer beater,” Jamal Crawford said. “A game like this, you shake it off and move on.”
I think that is easier said than done and the Hawks history isn’t going to put a lot of confidence in Atlanta backers for Game 2.
The Hawks have played 13 road games the past three postseasons and have lost 11 of them, 10 of which have been by at least 19 points.

Magical Confidence

While the Hawks have to try and rebound to avenge that Game 1 loss, Orlando has to be careful and not get over-confident for Game 2 and let the Hawks regain some of their own confidence.
All they had to do is go back to last season and see what the Hawks did.
After losing their first game in Miami in Round 1 by 31 points, the Hawks came back in Game 4 and won in Miami by 10 points two nights later. Head coach Stan Van Gundy shared that with his team and it was a perfect example showing how things can change from one game to the next.
“Every game in the playoffs is a new day, and you can’t get caught up in what’s happened before,” Van Gundy told the media Wednesday.
Even with the blowout win, Orlando cannot afford to hold back anything in Game 2.

Trendy Solutions

- The Hawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss.
- The Over is 8-0 in the Hawks last eight games following a double-digit loss.
- Orlando is 20-5-1 ATS in its last 26 games as a favorite.
- The under is 15-5-1 in Orlando’s last 21 games when it is favored between 5.0 and 10.5 points.
- The under has come though in six straight meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates (+135, 9)

Just over two weeks ago, Cubs manager Lou Piniella called out his lethargic left fielder, asking him to hustle out of the batter’s box.
"I talked to Alfonso (Soriano) and told him, 'When you hit the ball, even though you might think it's a home run, leave the box,'" Piniella said. “’And when you recognize it is a home run for sure, then you can go into your trot.'"
Sweet Lou’s request undoubtedly forced Soriano to pick up his step, but it may have jumpstarted his offense all together. The pathetic defense out in left will always be a work in progress.
Since April 19 when Soriano jogged to first because he thought he had hit a home run, the right-handed slugger has raised his average 35 points to .321 and has driven in 15 runs (11 games).
MLB.com reported on Wednesday that Piniella was considering moving Soriano up in the lineup due to his recent success. He has been in the 6-hole all season but with Aramis Ramirez continuing to struggle in the fifth spot in the lineup, Soriano could be placed there.
The Fonz had hit a homer in four straight games going into Wednesday and with Randy Wells on the mound, Chicago should close out the series against the swashbucklers with a win.

Pick: Chicago Cubs


Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners (+130, 8)

Milton Bradley and Don Wakamatsu probably didn’t make that scheduled trip to a local elementary school on Wednesday after the manager benched his outfielder Tuesday night.
Bradley was hitting cleanup in the Seattle lineup and when he struck out looking with the bases loaded in the sixth inning, Wakamatsu yanked him off the field.
Teammates said that Bradley was furious with the coach’s decision and left the stadium before the conclusion of the game.
The Mariners have struggled mightily from an offensive standpoint this season and this recent Bradley tirade will only make matters worse. The Seattle front office continues to search for a bat to stick in the middle of its lineup.
"I've made a tremendous amount of phone calls. I continue to make phone calls,” said GM Jack Zduriencik on attempting to acquire a hitter. “But it's like hunting season. It's not hunting season right now. Nobody's selling."
There is no way a bettor should be backing a team this offensively inept right now (throw Houston into that category also).

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays

 

[ugk]

ICE PICKS

Thursday's Best NHL Bets

Pittsburgh Penguins at Montreal Canadiens (+160, 5.5)

Penguins’ goalie Marc-André Fleury took a page from Jaroslav Halak’s book and carried his team on his back en route to a 2-0 Game 3 win Tuesday night.

Fleury only had to make 18 saves in the shutout, but a handful of those were spectacular game-saving stops.

With this performance, Fleury finally proved that he can steal games for Pittsburgh even when the offense isn’t clicking.

“We haven’t had a game where we won 1-0 or 2-1 or something like that in a long time”, defenseman Brooks Orpik told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. “And when your goalie is playing confident, it just gives everyone else in front of him the confidence that they can play to make plays rather than playing not to make mistakes.”

The Penguins might need Fleury to keep coming up big if they want to win this series. Pittsburgh’s typically high-powered offense has had trouble getting anything past the Canadiens defense since a 6-3 Game 1 blowout. And Sidney Crosby is still looking for his first goal in Montreal since his first game at the Bell Centre on Jan. 3, 2006. He only managed one shot on goal in Game 3.

“I’d love to create a chance every shift, I’d love to score every game and set up guys,” Crosby admitted to the Montreal Gazette. “But sometimes the game doesn’t dictate that as much as you want it to (when) you don’t get the bounces. You have to find other ways to be productive, whether it’s defensively or creating things for other guys or just being responsible.”

This series looks like it might come down to a tight defensive battle.

Pick: Under


San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings (-125, 5.5)
The San Jose Sharks put a dagger in the Red Wings’ hopes when they overcame a 3-1 third-period deficit in Tuesday’s Game 3 to earn a 4-3 overtime win and take a 3-0 lead in the series.

The Sharks are letting everyone know that this year’s version isn’t the same as the ones from playoffs past. Joe Thornton, who is notorious for pulling a disappearing act in the playoffs, scored San Jose’s second goal and set up Patrick Marleau's overtime netter with a beautiful pass Tuesday.

“At the end of the second, we still felt confident,” Thornton told reporters after the game. “We’re a confident group and we feel like we can come back. If we’re down in the third, we come out and play hard. We stuck with it.”

The Sharks also got some help from the officials, who disallowed Henrik Zetterberg's goal in the first period after determining he made a distinct kicking motion, and from Red Wings goalie Jimmy Howard, who failed to make key saves late in the game.

“It feels bad but it’s still not over,” Howard told reporters. “You can’t stop believing.”

The Red Wings haven’t been swept in the playoffs since losing in the first round to the Anaheim Ducks in 2003. Expect them to come out strong in Game 4 to save face in front of their hometown fans.

Pick: Detroit Red Wings

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

Moneylineking
9-5 Run (64%)
Sat 1-0
Sun 1-0
Mon 5-4
Tue 2-0
Wed 0-1
Thu
Minnesota Twins-1.5 (-115)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

cherry picking

phillies money line pod

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service"

CFR Cluj - FC Vaslui
Win bet Cluj @1,81( Pinnacle Sports)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SUPER POGODAK
PICK OF THE DAY
Odense - Nordsjaelland Over2.5 @2.15

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PRO tipster

Date Country League Event Our pick
06.05.2010 Romania Liga 1
Dinamo Bucharest - FC Timisoara
Timisoara +0
Kick-off at 16:00 GMT

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker's Bet of the Day:
Back Ajax at [2.02] to beat Feyenoord

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Spurs (+2-1/2) Wednesday night.

Thursday it's the Sharks. The deficit is 555 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo was all wet with his Mariners investment last night as they came up dry against the Rays to inflate the accounts payable to 150 brobergs.

Tonight, he'll roll the dice against Matsuzaka and the Sawx -- 10 units on the Angels to fly in Fenway.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 854-366 (.700)
ATS: 651-605 (.518)
ATS Vary Units: 1545-1459 (.514)
Over/Under: 623-642 (.492)
Over/Under Vary Units: 816-843 (.492)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 2, best-of-7 series
ORLANDO 101, Atlanta 90

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 438-298 (.595)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, Semifinals
Game 4, best-of-7 series
Pittsburgh vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Western Conference Playoffs, Semifinals
Game 4, best-of-7 series
San Jose vs. DETROIT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, MAY 6

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Atlanta (4-4 SU and ATS) at Orlando (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS)

The Magic aim for their sixth straight postseason win and 12th straight victory overall when they square off against the Hawks in Game 2 of their best-of-7 Eastern Conference semifinal series inside Amway Arena. Orlando, the defending Eastern Conference champion, crushed the Hawks in Tuesday’s Game 1, winning 114-71 as a nine-point home chalk. After a close first quarter, the Magic outscored the Hawks 60-21 in the middle two periods and shot 52.4 percent from the floor for the game with Defensive Player of the Year Dwight Howard leading the way with 21 points, 12 rebounds and five blocks. They limited the Hawks to 34.6 percent shooting and dominated the glass, outrebounding Atlanta 53-35. Orlando has won four of five SU and ATS this season against the Hawks, and the Magic have won and covered in seven of the last eight meetings dating to January 2009. Additionally, Orlando has won and cashed in five of six at home against the Hawks, including three straight home blowouts: 104-86 as a 5½-point favorite and 113-81 as a 3½-point chalk and Tuesday’s route. Atlanta is 20-25 SU (24-21 ATS) on the highway this season (1-3 SU and ATS in the playoffs), averaging 97.8 ppg on 45.8 percent shooting, while allowing 98.2 ppg (46.6 percent shooting). Orlando is 37-7 at home (26-17-1 ATS), including 3-0 (2-1 ATS) in the playoffs. The Magic have won 10 straight (7-2-1 ATS) and 16 of their last 17 (12-4-1 ATS) inside Amway Arena. The Hawks, who were swept out of the Eastern Conference semifinals a season ago by the Cavaliers (0-3-1 ATS), are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven as a playoff ‘dog, but they’re also on ATS surges of 7-4 overall, 11-5 against winning teams, 22-9-1 as an underdog of five to 10 ½ points and 7-4 against the Eastern Conference. The straight-up winner is on a huge 24-0-1 ATS surge in Atlanta’s last 25 playoff games. The Magic are on a plethora of positive ATS runs, including 20-7-1 overall, 6-1-1 at home (all as a chalk), 22-6-1 as a favorite, 9-1 after a straight-up win and 22-6 against Eastern Conference teams.
Atlanta has topped the total in four of six on the road and nine of 12 on the road against teams with a winning home record, but it is on “under” runs of 5-1 after just one day off, 8-2 as a playoff underdog and 20-7 as a ‘dog of five to 10 ½ points. Orlando has topped the total four of seven at home, but it is on “under” streaks of 5-0 in conference semifinal games, 5-1-1 as a playoff favorite, 30-14-2 as a favorite overall and 12-5-1 against Southeast Division rivals. In this rivalry, the under has been the play in six straight meetings, including all five this season.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO and UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (16-10) at Florida (13-14)

The Giants go for a three-game sweep in South Beach when they hand the ball to No. 2 starter Matt Cain (1-1, 2.84) while the Marlins counter with their own hard-throwing right-hander in Ricky Nolasco (2-1, 4.01) in the series finale at Sun Life Stadium. San Francisco outlasted Florida in 12 innings in Tuesday’s opener, prevailing 9-6 after scoring in the top of the ninth to tie the game. Then on Wednesday, Barry Zito (one run in seven innings) tossed yet another gem and the Giants withstood a late rally and scored a 3-2 victory. San Francisco has followed up a four-game slide (all on the road) by winning eight of 11, and Bruce Bochy’s bunch is on additional surges of 5-1 against the N.L. East and 4-1 against right-handed starters. On the downside, the Giants have still lost four of six on the highway, four of five on Thursday and five in a row in the third game of a series. Florida has dropped five of its last seven games on its current nine-game homestand that ends tonight, and it is just 3-7 in its last 10 overall, 1-6 in its last seven against the N.L. West and 3-8 in its last 11 against right-handed starters. On the positive end, the Marlins are on upticks of 5-2 as a home favorite, 6-2 in the third game of a series and 5-1 on Thursday. The Giants have won eight of the last 11 in this rivalry, including four of the last five overall and four of the last five in Florida. Going back further, San Francisco is on a 10-4 roll when playing in Miami. Cain has allowed three earned runs or fewer in all five of his starts this year, but he didn’t have anything to show for it until Saturday when he dominated the Rockies in a 6-1 home victory. The veteran right-hander scattered a hit and three walks while whiffing eight in eight shutout innings. Cain has now held seven straight opponents to three earned runs or less, but San Francisco is just 3-4 during this stretch. In fact, going back to last year, the Giants have lost seven of Cain’s last 10 starts overall, but they’re in an impressive 14-2 in his last 16 starts against the N.L. East. Cain has delivered two quality road outings this season, yielding just six runs (five earned) in 12 2/3 innings (3.55 ERA), but he got no-decisions in each contest with the Giants winning 10-4 in Houston and losing 3-2 in San Diego. Also, in five career starts against the Marlins, Cain is 2-0 with a 2.88 ERA, giving up three runs or fewer and pitching at least six innings in all five games, with San Francisco going 4-1. Nolasco lasted a season-low four innings Friday against the Nationals, getting rocked for five runs on eight hits (seven strikeouts) in a 7-1 home defeat. In two starts prior, he dominated the Phillies (5-1) and Rockies (4-1) on the road, surrendering a total of two runs in 17 innings. In fact, Nolasco has been much better on the road this year (2-0, 1.90 ERA in three starts, all Florida wins) than at home (0-1, 9.00 ERA in two games, both Florida losses). The Marlins have won 10 of Nolasco’s last 13 starts against the N.L. West and 11 of his last 14 when he’s coming off five days of rest. However, they’ve lost five of his last six home starts, going 0-5 as a home chalk. He’s faced the Giants just twice, going 1-1 with a 1.13 ERA (two earned runs allowed in 16 innings). San Francisco is riding a slew of “under” runs, including 13-2 overall, 5-1 on the road, 8-1 against right-handed starters, 6-0 as an underdog and 9-4 on Thursday. And with Cain hurling, the “under” is on streaks of 5-2 overall, 9-3 on the road, 5-1 as an underdog and 13-6 against the N.L. East. Conversely, Florida still sports “over” trends of 29-12 at home, 14-4 versus the N.L. West, 35-15-1 as a favorite, 18-6-2 against right-handed starters, 9-4 with Nolasco on the bump and 9-4 when Nolasco pitches against the N.L. West. Finally, the under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 Giants-Marlins clashes overall and 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in South Beach.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (12-17) at Boston (14-14)

Daisuke Matsuzaka (0-1, 11.57) makes his second start of the season as he tries to pitch the Red Sox to a four-game sweep of the struggling Angels, who will counter with lefty Scott Kazmir (2-1, 5.57) at Fenway Park. After getting swept by the Orioles in Baltimore over the weekend, Boston has returned home and taken three straight from the Angels by a combined score of 25-10, including Wednesday’s 3-1 victory. The Red Sox have won seven of their last nine home games, and they’re also on surges of 129-63 at home, 5-1 against the A.L. West and 4-0 versus southpaw starters, but they’re also just 2-5 in their last seven when playing the fourth game of a series. Los Angeles has lost the first six games of a 10-game road trip, getting outscored 43-19, and it has dropped 10 of 14 overall dating to April 21. Additionally, the Angels are in slumps of 0-5 against right-handed starters and 0-5 as an underdog, but they’ve won 19 of their last 27 Thursday contests. The Angels swept a best-of-5 divisional playoff series against Boston last year and they’re still 12-10 in the last 22 meetings. Also, the home team is 9-2 in the last 11 in this rivalry – with the Red Sox going 6-2 in the last eight at Fenway – following an 8-3 run by the visitor. Kazmir is coming off his strongest performance of the season – and his first quality start in seven outings dating to last season – as he held the Tigers to two runs (one earned) in six innings Saturday, but the Angels offense didn’t contribute much and L.A. fell 3-2 on the road. Kazmir has gone 10 consecutive starts without lasting more than six innings, and in two road outings this year (Detroit and the Yankees), he’s 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA. Kazmir’s last start against the Red Sox came in the 2009 American League Championship Series when the lefty was with the Rays. In that contest, he gave up five runs on five hits and three walks in six innings, but Tampa pulled out a 7-6 road victory. Prior to that, Kazmir made 23 regular-season starts against the Red Sox with the Rays, going 8-7 with a 3.59 ERA (6-4, 3.05 ERA in 13 games at Fenway Park). Matsuzaka spent the first month of the season on the disabled list, returning with mixed results on Saturday in Baltimore. He gave up just one run through the first four innings, then fell apart in a six-run fifth inning. The right-hander finished giving up seven runs (six earned) on seven this and three walks in 4 2/3 innings. Last season, the Japanese star was limited to just 12 starts because of injury, going 4-6 with a 5.76 ERA (2-2, 5.60 ERA in six home contests). With Dice-K on the hill, Boston is on runs of 36-15 overall, 18-8 at home 10-4 against the A.L. West, 30-12 when favored, 5-2 on Thursday and 3-1 in four career starts (two playoff) against the Angels. In those four contests versus Los Angeles, Matsuzaka yielded a total of 12 runs in 20 2/3 innings (5.23 ERA). L.A. is on “under” runs of 24-7 on the road, 7-1 as a road underdog, 16-5 on the road against right-handed starters and 5-1 when Kazmir throws on the highway. Meanwhile, the over has hit in 13 of Boston’s last 17 games against lefty starters, but with Matsuzaka pitching, the under is on stretches of 7-3-1 overall and 12-3-1 at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NY Players Club 5/6

2* on Detroit Redwings -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sampicks 5/06
Romania - Liga 1 - 12:30 GMT
OTELUL GALATI - UNIREA ALBA IULIA - OTELUL GALATI
Best odds: 1,94

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

B&S picks
early play
Cardinals +200 ml

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Outlaw Sports Advisors 5/6 early for Thursday

Cubs -150
Brewers +105